I’m working on a project analyzing infant remains of Homo naledi, a species of human that lived in South Africa around 300,000 years ago. In order to paint a full picture of infancy in this species, we need to estimate how big (or small) naledi newborns were. But without fossil neonates that could provide direct evidence of body size at birth, this is a tricky task.

Ideally, we could simply use adult body size estimates for Homo naledi to predict its body size at birth, using the scaling relationship in other primates as a guide. For example, using an average adult body size of 44 kg for Homo naledi (Garvin et al., 2017) yields an estimated newborn size of around 1.5 kg, based on published primate dataset (Barton and Cappellini, 2011). But this approach necessarily overlooks variation within each species, not to mention variation and uncertainty in Homo naledi adult size. In addition, the 95% prediction interval for this estimate ranges from under 1 kg (smaller than an average baboon baby) to almost as large as a human neonate.

And this gets at the other issue with the regression-based approach to estimating newborn body size in fossil hominins: humans are bad at being primates in some ways, as illustrated here by the fact that we don’t fit the newborn-adult body size relationship that characterizes other catarrhines (apes and monkeys of Africa and Eurasia).

Humans give birth to collosal kids. In contrast, gorillas are the largest living primates as adults, but their newborns are only a little over half the size of human neonates. Why do we have such giant babies? The most proximate reason is that humans are born with adult-ape-sized brains and quite a bit of baby fat as far as mammals go (Kuzawa, 1998). This tells us how babies are big, but it still begs the ultimate question of why—an enduring puzzle that you may have read about in the New York Times last week.

In order to land on a reasonable estimate of newborn body size in extinct humans, we need to figure out when evolution blew up the kid. Unfortunately, the only fossil hominin neonates are two Neandertals from France and Russia dating to under 100,000 years ago­­­—pretty remarkable, but they don’t necessarily tell us about earlier species like Homo naledi.

My colleague Jerry Desilva (2011) worked out a potential solution to this conundrum. He argued that one could work from adult brain size to newborn body size through the following steps. First, in contrast to newborn-adult body size scaling, humans are good catarrhines when it comes to newborn-adult brain size scaling. This means that we can reasonably estimate newborn brain size based on adult brain sizes, which are aplenty in the human fossil record. Second, humans and many other primate newborns have brains roughly 12% of their overall body mass, while the great ape newborns stand out with brains around 10% of their adult size. Putting these two pieces together, one could estimate newborn body size: Adult brain ➡️ newborn brain ➡️ 10–12% newborn body size

DeSilva showed that regardless of whether you use an ape or human model of newborn brain/body size, hominin babies from Australopithecus afarensis 3 million years ago onward were probably large relative to maternal body size, estimated independently using skeletal remains. It’s a bit of a tortuous approach to estimating body size at birth, but the assumptions are reasonable and it’s probably the best way to figure out this important life history variable given the fossil evidence. What does this mean for Homo naledi?

There are a few reliable adult brain size estimates for naledi, ranging from 465–610 cm³ (Berger et al., 2015; Garvin et al., 2017; Hawks et al., 2017), which based on catarrhine scaling would predict newborn brain size of around 170–210 cm³ (DeSilva and Lesnik, 2008). These brain sizes would then predict newborn body sizes of around 1.4–2.1 kg: the smol estimate is based on the smallest naledi adult brain size and a human model of newborn brain/body size; the chonk estimate is based on the largest naledi brain size and an ape brain/body model (pinkish stars in the boxplot below, left).

So, did Homo naledi have big babies? On the one hand, no: these 1.4–2.1 kg naledi newborns are outside the human range, and within the range of living great apes.

On the other hand, maybe Homo naledi babies were relatively large, though this depends on the size of Homo naledi adults. Recall from earlier that Garvin and colleagues arrived at an average estimated adult size of 44.2 kg. But this is an average of estimates for 20 separate naledi fossils, and each of these estimates has its own range of uncertainty. Garvin and team reported that the extremes of the prediction intervals for these estimates ranged from 28–62 kg. The second boxplot above shows newborn size relative to the adult average (sexes combined) for each species: for naledi, the six labels compare the smol and large newborn sizes (1.4 and 2.1 kg) with the adult average and extremes (28, 44, and 62 kg). Assuming the ‘true’ naledi sizes are somewhere in the middle of the range of estimates, naledi likely gave birth to babies 3–5% of adult body size, somewhat ‘intermediate’ between chimpanzees and humans (and bonobos…?) and similar to what DeSilva found for other hominins.

This is just a preliminary look at infancy in Homo naledi. There is a lot of uncertainty in these size estimates, but we should still be able to make some interesting inferences about growth and life history in our extinct evolutionary cousin.

REFERENCES

Barton, R. A., & Capellini, I. (2011). Maternal investment, life histories, and the costs of brain growth in mammals. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 108(15), 6169–6174. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1019140108

Berger, L. R., Hawks, J., de Ruiter, D. J., Churchill, S. E., Schmid, P., Delezene, L. K., … Zipfel, B. (2015). Homo naledi, a new species of the genus Homo from the Dinaledi Chamber, South Africa. ELife, 4, e09560. https://doi.org/10.7554/eLife.09560

DeSilva, J. M. (2011). A shift toward birthing relatively large infants early in human evolution. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 108(3), 1022–1027. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1003865108

DeSilva, J. M., & Lesnik, J. J. (2008). Brain size at birth throughout human evolution: A new method for estimating neonatal brain size in hominins. Journal of Human Evolution, 55(6), 1064–1074. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhevol.2008.07.008

Garvin, H. M., Elliott, M. C., Delezene, L. K., Hawks, J., Churchill, S. E., Berger, L. R., & Holliday, T. W. (2017). Body size, brain size, and sexual dimorphism in Homo naledi from the Dinaledi Chamber. Journal of Human Evolution, 111, 119–138. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhevol.2017.06.010

Hawks, J., Elliott, M., Schmid, P., Churchill, S. E., Ruiter, D. J. de, Roberts, E. M., … Berger, L. R. (2017). New fossil remains of Homo naledi from the Lesedi Chamber, South Africa. ELife, 6, e24232. https://doi.org/10.7554/eLife.24232

Kemnitz, J. W. (2019). Database for indices of aging in nonhuman primates. Innovation in Aging, 3(Suppl 1), S957. https://doi.org/10.1093/geroni/igz038.3472

Kuzawa, C. W. (1998). Adipose tissue in human infancy and childhood: An evolutionary perspective. American Journal of Physical Anthropology, 107(S27), 177–209. https://doi.org/10.1002/(SICI)1096-8644(1998)107:27+<177::AID-AJPA7>3.0.CO;2-B